Monday, July 20, 2015

Whither Interest Rates?

Conundrum...


Predicting the future is hard

In case you missed it, Neil Irwin offered some valuable insights concerning the age-old, recurring question about where home mortgage rates are headed the other day on nytimes.com.

If you try to time your mortgage decision based on a hunch about future rates, you are betting that you have outsmarted the entire global bond market, he wrote.  

Irwin's article should be must reading for anyone thinking about buying a house or refinancing.  

Be sure to catch his concluding paragraph.  Even the pros have problems predicting the future: http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/17/upshot/thinking-about-taking-out-a-mortgage-dont-obsess-over-the-fed.html   

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